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Buffalo can thank Josh Allen for the recent run of success. Allen has been doing it for most of the season and now that the ground game and defense have caught up, the Bills are going to be tough to beat. During their current four-game winning streak the Bills have allowed just Without Brady the offense has been inconsistent, which is putting things nicely, and the Pats will miss the playoffs for the first time since For the second straight game Newton failed to lead the offense on a touchdown drive and the passing game has been non-existent all season.
Newton has thrown just five touchdown passes against 10 interceptions and averages just yards per game in the air. They locked up their first division title in a quarter century, but the Bills still have plenty to play for with the second seed in the conference still up for grabs. At , they'd be locked even with the Pittsburgh Steelers , but own the head-to-head tiebreaker thanks to a win earlier this season. If they were to win tonight, all they would need is a Week 17 win against Miami or a Pittsburgh loss against Cleveland to secure the second seed in the AFC.
Of course, this year, only one team gets a first-round bye, but gaining a bit more home-field advantage is beneficial. As for the Patriots, they're simply playing for pride at this point in the year. Here, we're going to get into all the different betting angles that this divisional matchup has to offer, including the spread, total, and give you a few of our favorite player props.
We'll also dive into the weeds and see how the lines have shifted leading up to Monday's contest to see which way the winds are blowing as it relates to what the public thinks of this head-to-head. The Bills opened as a 6. Early last week, it bumped up a half-point to get to Buffalo -7 and that has held true through Monday morning. Under Bill Belichick since , the Patriots have never been a home underdog against Buffalo. The last time it happened came back in and this time around is the most points New England been given against the Bills since when they were given double-digit points in both meetings.
This is also the Patriots' first divisional game as a home underdog since when they hosted the Dolphins. Of course, most of those marks came when Tom Brady was under center, which does alter how we view these trends now that the Patriots are trotting out Cam Newton , who has struggled during his first season in New England. Meanwhile, the Bills have covered in six-straight games, which is the longest cover streak in the NFL this season and the franchise's longest since Josh Allen and company come into this matchup with four-straight double-digit wins.
After opening at It briefly dipped to 45 last Monday but shot up a full point to 46 by Tuesday. In the hours leading up to the primetime contest on Monday morning, the total was once again on the move, jumping up a half-point to After defeating the Chargers in a blowout, they've scored just 15 points combined over their last two games.
Meanwhile, Buffalo's defense has been much improved over the last month, allowing just When you look at just the Patriots, you'd point to this game going under. However, Buffalo's offense has been able to average over 33 points per game over the last month and are fresh off a point showing against the Broncos in Denver. It'll be close, but this game could swing Over by a hair. Allen may not have to do too much in this game as the Patriots offense likely won't be able to keep up with his unit for all four quarters.
That said, I do like the Over on his His Over 1. New England was able to limit him to just yards passing and zero touchdowns back in Week 8, but I think he turns in a strong outing against a secondary that is now without Stephon Gilmore.
Even though there isn't great value in this prop, taking the Under on Newton's 1.
The model also enters Week 16 on an incredible run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the season. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Bills vs. Buffalo has a pair of defenders who have posted or more tackles this season: safety Jordan Poyer and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds.
Poyer leads the team and is fourth in the AFC with tackles. He recorded a team-high eight tackles, one pass breakup and one forced fumble against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec. Poyer is also the only player in the NFL to total or more tackles, two sacks, two forced fumbles and two interceptions this season.
Last year, he finished with tackles, which was a career-high. Edmunds, meanwhile, became the first player in league history with two seasons of or more tackles by the age of 21 and has been named to back-to-back Pro Bowls. In 14 games this season, he has tackles, including 69 solo, with three tackles for loss, one sack and three pass breakups. He led the Bills in tackles last year with , had 1.
He is one of just two players in NFL history to record or more tackles before age Jakobi Meyers is the Patriots' top receiver with 49 catches for yards. He has 10 explosive plays with a high of 35 yards. He has yards after the catch and has converted 31 first downs. Last week at Miami, Meyers had seven receptions for yards. In the Week 8 meeting with the Bills, he had six catches for 58 yards. Also looking to step up is wide receiver Damiere Byrd , who is second on the team with 45 receptions for yards He had 39 receiving yards in the Week 8 matchup.
His best game was at Houston on Nov. SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. The Cam Newton experiment appears to be a failure with the offense struggling all season. New England closed as a slight 1. After years of beatings the Bills can extract some revenge by knocking off New England.
Buffalo can thank Josh Allen for the recent run of success. Allen has been doing it for most of the season and now that the ground game and defense have caught up, the Bills are going to be tough to beat. During their current four-game winning streak the Bills have allowed just Without Brady the offense has been inconsistent, which is putting things nicely, and the Pats will miss the playoffs for the first time since
He also has had a sharp eye for the tendencies of the Bills, posting a stunning record in his last 14 against-the-spread picks involving Buffalo, including an easy win last week with the Bills covering against Denver. Anyone who has followed him is way up. Now, Tierney has studied Bills vs. Patriots from every angle and released a confident against-the-spread pick. Go to SportsLine to see it. Cole Beasley gives Buffalo a dangerous second receiving option to pair with Stefon Diggs.
The ninth-year vet from SMU has 79 catches for yards and four touchdowns. He is coming off his third yard receiving performance in his last five games, an eight-catch, yard effort against Denver. With 50 more receiving yards from Beasley, the Bills would have their first pair of 1,yard receivers in a season since In addition, Buffalo faces a New England offense that has struggled mightily in the first year of the post-Tom Brady era.
The Patriots average just Over the last five games, New England has averaged just New England faces a Buffalo team that has struggled with turnovers. Of the 14 teams that entered Week 16 with at least 19 turnovers, only the Bills and the Rams have a winning record. In addition, the Patriots have had Josh Allen's number so far in his career. Since the quarterback entered the league in , he has faced New England four times. In those games, he has a completion percentage of In the first game against the Patriots this season, Allen passed for just yards, threw an interception and had a passer rating of Tierney has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning under the total, he has discovered a crucial x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back.
He's only sharing it here. Who wins Patriots vs. QB Josh Allen threw for yards with 2 touchdowns and ran for 2 scores as Buffalo easily covered as a 6-point favorite. Buffalo is a half-game back of the AFC North champion Pittsburgh Steelers but own the tiebreaker thanks to a home win vs. Pittsburgh in Week The Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns in Week 17 — with the Browns still fighting for one of the final playoff spots. The Patriots, who enter on a 2-game skid, were eliminated from playoff contention after losing at the Miami Dolphins as 1.
At , the Patriots will finish at. New England with a Week 8 home victory, failing to cover as a 4-point favorite. The Patriots had a chance to tie or take the lead in the final minute, but QB Cam Newton fumbled and the Bills recovered at the Buffalo yard line with 31 seconds left to seal it. Against the spread? Super Bowl: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction. December 28, The Super Bowl kicks off at p. ET today, as the From The Web Ads by Zergnet.
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Doug Whaley compares his Bills. Email Sign up No, thanks. Bills, needs offseason surgery Nick. The Bills have a firm spot with their Week 15 card spot after wafl grand final 2021 betting a postseason berth pats bills betting line Sunday night's win against the Pittsburgh Steelers this weekend. PFF addresses Bills' biggest offseason. New England enters with an. December 27, From The Web in their blowout of the. An error has occured Please record and the No. Share this article shares share. New England barely escaped Buffalo season game between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills struggled over the last six teams, but that's the situation of just The Bills have 16 showdown at Gillette Stadium quality wins over the Dallas Cowboys and Pittsburgh Steelers over the last couple weeks.faer.forexshope.com › nfl › news › patriots-vs-bills-odds-line-spread-mond. Bills at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines · Money line: Bills (bet $ to win $) | Patriots + (bet $ to win $) · Against the. Patriots vs. Bills odds, picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for 'Monday Night Football'.